I think this tournament high lighted the importance of getting 3 point wins and when you lose getting 1 point losses. The top 6 cut off was 10 points leaving 4 hanging with 9 points and 2 with 8 points. Every point really matters in competitive tournaments!

That's true if you're talking about the "glory" someone deserves. I ended where I ended. But if you're talking about the viability of a squad and want to know whether write it off, the way that it loses is absolutely relevant.

I had a decent lead in the game against Spry at one point. Jan, the Speeder, R2, and Crix were all dead, I still had a bunch of Force points, and he had almost no damage on my damage dealers (just poured it into the Skiff). I made a bad error - leaving Exar outside of the main combat room and planning to move him into the room early in the next round. Turns out I needed him in the room before I had a chance to move him. On top of that, I didn't recognize Kyle's top dmg output. Top of the round I pulled Kyle across 3 Mines squares adjacent to Caedus. But 3 Mines saves (Kyle made all 3 saves) and then attacking with Caedus didn't kill Kyle. If Exar were in the room, the Mines and Shields saves would have been harder, but more importantly I would have spent Exar's FPs on SBM, leaving Caedus with enough to Master Illusion twice when Kyle attacked him. But instead Caedus had only 1 fp and went down quickly. With Exar in the room it would have been save 20s on Master Illusion and Caedus would have almost certainly lived. If I had simply had Exar in the room, I'd put my chances in that skirmish at 80-20, maybe better. That's not to take anything away from Spry - I made the mistake and he won because he played without making such mistakes. But that loss is on the player (me), not the matchup.

When I said I'd need a little bit of luck to win it all I'm just talking about Etienne losing before I would have had to face him. Not to say I would have automatically beaten everyone else - just that I'd be evenly matched with everyone else. My squad has plenty of bad matchups, but only 2 of them showed up in this tournament.

Little bit of luck in a skirmish means everything. When a match comes down to a die roll or a placement error you don't say the lucky squad is good and the unlucky squad is bad. They're evenly matched. Same thing with a play error swinging a match. You don't write off a squad because it loses due to a play error.

Crix was already dead, but whatever you want to go with is fine. I've said what I wanted to say.

It's getting into dead horse beating territory at this point.

Next.

Ortugg would be a good fit for that squad.

Sith do have a strong, unique movement breaker with Caedus SL's Sith Battle Manipulation, but it does have counters in the meta like force immunity.