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Caedus
Posted: Friday, October 27, 2017 1:19:12 PM
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Looks like ultra vs TINT, Spry vs FA, and Caedus vs urbanjedi.
Naarkon
Posted: Saturday, October 28, 2017 1:16:27 PM
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New pairings are up.
FlyingArrow
Posted: Saturday, October 28, 2017 4:57:48 PM
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So going into the final round, there are 5 players who can clinch a spot in the top 4 with a 3pt win. 11 points will be a lock for the top 4. Looks likely that there will be several tied at 10 - who knows how the tiebreakers will play out?

theultrastar - in no matter what
tint - in with a 1pt loss or a win.
FlyingArrow/spryguy - winner of this match will definitely be in the top 4
Caedus - clinches a spot with a 3pt win


If tint has a 0pt loss and Caedus doesn't get the 3pt win, someone with 10pts gets in. Any of these people could be in the tie at 10pts:
tint - with a 0pt loss
FlyingArrow/spryguy - loser if they get a point will be at 10pts
Caedus - with a 2pt win
UrbanJedi/Frenchy/UrbanShmi/DarthO - with a 3pt win

Up to 5 people tied at 10.


OR, for those who want to root for chaos...
1 slot goes to theultrastar for sure
1 slot goes to FlyingArrow/spryguy winner for sure
1 more slot goes to someone with 10 points or more for sure (if nothing else, tint already has 10)

BUT... if FlyingArrow/spryguy loser gets 0pts, urbanjedi gets a 2pt win, Caedus gets a 1pt loss, Frenchy or Darth O win with a 2pt win, UrbanShmi wins with a 2pt win or shmi15 with 3 pts, and TimmerB wins with 3pts...

THEN... we get a SIX way tie at 9pts for the last slot. Really unlikely, but theoretically possible.
Caedus
Posted: Saturday, October 28, 2017 6:07:36 PM
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FlyingArrow wrote:
So going into the final round, there are 5 players who can clinch a spot in the top 4 with a 3pt win. 11 points will be a lock for the top 4. Looks likely that there will be several tied at 10 - who knows how the tiebreakers will play out?

theultrastar - in no matter what
tint - in with a 1pt loss or a win.
FlyingArrow/spryguy - winner of this match will definitely be in the top 4
Caedus - clinches a spot with a 3pt win


If tint has a 0pt loss and Caedus doesn't get the 3pt win, someone with 10pts gets in. Any of these people could be in the tie at 10pts:
tint - with a 0pt loss
FlyingArrow/spryguy - loser if they get a point will be at 10pts
Caedus - with a 2pt win
UrbanJedi/Frenchy/UrbanShmi/DarthO - with a 3pt win

Up to 5 people tied at 10.


OR, for those who want to root for chaos...
1 slot goes to theultrastar for sure
1 slot goes to FlyingArrow/spryguy winner for sure
1 more slot goes to someone with 10 points or more for sure (if nothing else, tint already has 10)

BUT... if FlyingArrow/spryguy loser gets 0pts, urbanjedi gets a 2pt win, Caedus gets a 1pt loss, Frenchy or Darth O win with a 2pt win, UrbanShmi wins with a 2pt win or shmi15 with 3 pts, and TimmerB wins with 3pts...

THEN... we get a SIX way tie at 9pts for the last slot. Really unlikely, but theoretically possible.




NO PRESSURE ANYONE!!! Have Fun! LOL
swinefeld
Posted: Saturday, October 28, 2017 8:13:14 PM
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"Never tell me the odds". lol BlooMilk

Or, "Good luck. We're all counting on you." (anyone playing Pilots) Razz

TimmerB123
Posted: Saturday, October 28, 2017 10:11:51 PM
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FlyingArrow
Posted: Tuesday, October 31, 2017 5:47:04 AM
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Looking at the standings - how did urbanjedi get a win but 0 points in round 3? He's 1-1 with 4 points after 2 rounds. He's 2-1 with points after 3 rounds.
UrbanShmi
Posted: Tuesday, October 31, 2017 6:23:10 AM
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FlyingArrow wrote:
Looking at the standings - how did urbanjedi get a win but 0 points in round 3? He's 1-1 with 4 points after 2 rounds. He's 2-1 with points after 3 rounds.


Going back into the thread, it looks like J lost to Frenchy in round 3.
FlyingArrow
Posted: Tuesday, October 31, 2017 7:46:30 AM
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So after his latest match he's 3-2 with 10 points instead of 4-1 with 10 points?

EDIT: Yes. Just checked the official standings in the other thread.
urbanjedi
Posted: Tuesday, October 31, 2017 8:38:53 AM
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well, how many can we get tied at 10pts for the last spot?
FlyingArrow
Posted: Tuesday, October 31, 2017 9:31:24 AM
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urbanjedi wrote:
well, how many can we get tied at 10pts for the last spot?


There could be up to 5 tied at 10 for 2 available spots.
If Trevor wins (or loses but scores a point), then it's up to 4 tied at 10 for 1 available spot.


Already two tied at 10pts (urban and Urban).
DarthO/Frenchy winner needs a 3pt win to join the tie.
FA/Spry loser needs a 1pt loss to join the tie.
Trevor needs a 0pt loss to join the tie.
TimmerB123
Posted: Tuesday, October 31, 2017 7:25:00 PM
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Awww. No chance now. 😰
thereisnotry
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 12:44:36 PM
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FlyingArrow wrote:
urbanjedi wrote:
well, how many can we get tied at 10pts for the last spot?


There could be up to 5 tied at 10 for 2 available spots.
If Trevor wins (or loses but scores a point), then it's up to 4 tied at 10 for 1 available spot.


Already two tied at 10pts (urban and Urban).
DarthO/Frenchy winner needs a 3pt win to join the tie.
FA/Spry loser needs a 1pt loss to join the tie.
Trevor needs a 0pt loss to join the tie.
Um, "Yay I avoided the tie"?

The results of my match with Bronson was 3pt win for me and 1pt loss for him. What does that do for the standings? Do we have enough info to go with for an initial guestimate of final standings (or potential standings) now? I'm asking because I'm afraid to face Spry's squad again...it's devastatingly powerful against mine. I'm afraid to face Bronson's squad too, because I think I got especially lucky in our game yesterday...if I have to face him again I hope it's only in the finals.

I'm pretty sure that both Bronson and I are in for sure (just 1 loss each), but I'm curious if we have enough info to know how the rest of the field is sitting right now.
spryguy1981
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 1:10:25 PM
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You vs 4th place though I feel like SOS would put me ahead in the tiebreaker.

Bronson vs TJ is the other matchup.
FlyingArrow
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 1:21:13 PM
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I think Matt has it right, but it's possible someone else comes out on top in the tie at 10pts. Spry has a really good SOS, but I don't know how anyone else's looks.
Darth O
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 3:25:15 PM
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Frenchy and I probably won't get to play, as I haven't heard back from him and the weekend was my only available time. One of us will get the 3 points then.
jen'ari
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 4:55:38 PM
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Does Darth O getting the 3 points change the top 4 rankings?
Would love to see Darth O vs the Mandos. It is a very interesting match up.

But if not and the pairings are arrow vs ultra and Spry vs TINT

2 vong, a hutt, and a mando eh? pretty crazy stuff.


interesting match ups for the semi's the skiff vs blast bugs could be fun.

Mandos vs the evade and unique vong should also be fun. But Mandos high HP and armor could win the day.


map rolls can be pretty big here.
Outlaw city would help ultra a lot he can control landing spots better and entryways better

Not playing on Cloud City would probably help Spry a lot as well since he has limited range.

Interesting match ups.

thereisnotry
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 7:42:44 PM
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jen'ari wrote:
Mandos vs the evade and unique vong should also be fun. But Mandos high HP and armor could win the day.

Actually, Matt and I already played 2 rounds ago...he stomped me. Unless he gets some miserably bad save luck (needing 7s!) there's no way I can win that matchup. I think I did pretty well to get 1 point in that game.
TimmerB123
Posted: Sunday, November 5, 2017 9:56:35 PM
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Naarkon and I played yesterday. I'll do a bigger write up tomorrow, but Mando fire and explosions with pushy bikes finally won one.

TimmerB 210-116

urbanjedi
Posted: Monday, November 6, 2017 1:13:53 AM
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FlyingArrow wrote:
I think Matt has it right, but it's possible someone else comes out on top in the tie at 10pts. Spry has a really good SOS, but I don't know how anyone else's looks.


Yeah, Spry looks pretty good. Not sure what Naarkon is using for TBs, but having played all 3 of the players who are 4-1 should give him a leg up on the other 10s
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